The Saint Theory
of Medicine
Why scientific studies, closed claim projects,
whistleblowers,
examining existing records, reorganizing administrations
and altering the way clinicians are paid are only patches.
A ship taking on water must be patched. It
is not as though patches are not crucial. But when ships keep sinking because the shipping company earns more when
they do. . . When
ships keep sinking because it is not important to shipping companies to avoid
storms or build ships that can survive them because sinking means more business.
. . When passengers keep getting on ships that sink because there is no way for
passengers to learn which companies keep sinking ships. When the solutions
proposed imagine that none of this matters because saints are in charge. . .
The Saint Theory of Medicine is the basis for almost all the
theories and proposals that are supposed to fix medicine. It comes in many
colors and sizes, but in short it is the idea that saints can run everything
without patients needing to know anything other than what they have
been told to do and what they have been told to pay. Like passengers getting on
ships with no information about how safe they are or how much the fare costs.
Consider the discovery of the importance of hand washing.
When Semmelweis discovered that it saves lives, he was in charge of two
maternity clinics. Comparing them enabled him to do a rudimentary clinical
systems analysis. The first clinic had a high enough death rate that expectant
mothers who had been assigned to it literally got on their knees pleading to be
reassigned to the second clinic. When they were not, some women chose to
give birth in the street. The "street births" had a higher survival rate than
the women who gave birth in the clinic. It was safer to give birth in the street
than in the clinic. Yet the clinicians, knowing that, continued to send patients
to the most dangerous clinic.
Informed Patients
This is the way medicine always has taken care of patients. Most of the patients
in the most dangerous clinic did not die. Some months as many as 30% did, but apparently
that was a high enough success rate for the health care professionals who were
not going there themselves. Today providers argue against allowing patients to
know the success rates of providers and facilities saying that maybe the deadlier
ones gets sicker patients. The
problem with getting information from health care professionals is that they are
not the ones who are dying. They are neither objective nor selfless. They are
not saints. So they worry more about the reputation of the clinics or the
caregivers and less about the survival of the patients.
Today we hear that most patients are happy
with their health care. We hear this even though health care is the greatest source of accidental injury
and death in the country and the greatest source of personal bankruptcy. It even
is bankrupting the federal government. But most patients are happy with it, so
apparently that is good enough for the people who earn their livings in
medicine today too. Whether they do it by informing patients or not, they
steer patients into the situations that cause all those deaths and
bankruptcies. If they know the information that patients need to make cost-benefit choices
that are safe and affordable, they are not telling it to patients. And they are not
using it themselves to protect patients. This should raise questions about the
worthiness of all the theories in which the people running medicine make medicine safe and
affordable rather than enabling patients to seek that which is safe and
affordable.
Making Medicine Safe for Patients
Semmelweis figured out that washing hands would bring down
the death rate in the more dangerous maternity facility. In fact, two months
after instituting handwashing, the death rate fell to zero - better than in the
safer clinic. But sharing the
discovery did not result in clinicians washing their hands. Just like the
more recent discovery that checklists dramatically can reduce negative outcomes
has not resulted in clinicians using those either. Their own well
being is not effected. They don't die if they don't use the checklists or
wash their hands. Scientific studies or the examination of closed case claims
have little to do with whether caregivers implement
what is learned from them.
It has been 160 years since hand washing was discovered to be
important. Currently, according to the CDC, 99,000 people per year die from infections acquired in
health care. For 99,000 to die from that, some millions must have made sick by
it. For some millions to have been made sick, there must have been some hundreds
of millions of unsafe acts. A lot of those unsafe acts were failures to wash
hands. Many of the rest might have been more complicated acts, but still acts known to be unsafe.
Another closed claims project determining that clinicians need to wash their
hands will not ensure that they do. Closed claims projects or other scientific studies can
determine what the clinical systems problems are, but they cannot motivate
clinicians to implement the solutions well or at all. They also cannot motivate
clinicians to figure out how to implement them for less than it costs to send a
space shuttle to the moon.
Gouge
I know of a physician who bought a machine that is estimated
to have cost $20,000. It is the size of a desktop computer printer. It emits a
laser beam through a stylus that can be used to kill toenail fungus. He knew of
a homeopathic healer (prescribes herbal remedies) who was starving. So he made a
deal with her. He put the machine in her office and pays her $60 per hour to do
the treatments. It takes two to three hours to treat a patient. Doing this work
is what keeps her in business. So there is a reasonable amount of it.
The physician charges patients $1,200 every time he
prescribes it. In a matter of months the machine will have
paid for itself and he will be making $1,000 every time he prescribes it.
Scientific studies say that the treatment is successful half the time. They
don't say how successful this homeopathic healer is at using it. There are no
scientific studies telling patients if someone half an hour away is doing the
same thing for one fourth the money with triple the success rate. There
are no scientific studies motivating patients to care what it costs either. The
patients with toenail fungus go where they are told and pay what they are told
and imagine that some saint somewhere is making sure that the success rate and
the costs are what they should be. They also imagine that their primary care
physician cares enough about their well being not to gouge them financially.
80% of Medicine
80% of medicine is maintenance, not emergency care. There is
time to make informed cost-benefit decisions for 80% of health care.
Unfortunately, there is no opportunity to do so. Patients being screened for
cancer cannot know whether the radiologist examining their x-rays ever
recognizes cancer in an x-ray. No one monitors that.
That was studied once. It was found that there are
radiologists who cannot recognize cancer in an x-ray. The government tried to
fix that. They wanted to test and rate radiologists. But government is political
and medicine is powerful. The effort devolved into the government regulating the
equipment that radiologists use. The inept radiologists are still enjoying long
and lucrative careers getting paid for doing something they are incapable of
doing. They have degrees. They have training. They have good social skills. They
talk a good talk. They just don't do a good job. Patients are told to go to them
and pay whatever the insurance company can be persuaded to pay. If the patients
don't have insurance, often they are told to pay more than the insurance company
would have had to pay. And they do that, patient after patient, year after year,
with no benefit to anyone but the radiologist.
Closed Claims Projects
For something like a closed claim project to address that,
lots of patients would have to suffer and file claims in order for there to be
claims that have been closed. And that would have to happen for every
radiologist in the country. Efforts like the
ASA Closed Claims Project
really only are about systems improvement. That is vital. That can saves lives.
That can reduce the extent to which injuries and lawsuits add to the increasing cost
of medicine. But that cannot evaluate whether your clinician is competent or
even safe. That cannot watch every nook and cranny of medicine so that patients
don't have to.
There are no closed claims to study for the toenail laser
operator. People who pay too much and don't get healed do not file claims. They
don't know they paid too much. They don't know that they have been sent to
someone who heals only a fifth of her patients. Her patients did not become
disabled. They did not die. There are no claims. The patients merely continue to
live with toenail fungus, possibly trying a drug treatment next, or a repeat
attempt with the laser, but without learning that there is a more successful
operator in town, and without future patients learning anything about the less
successful one.
It doesn't have to be this
way. The patient community does not have to pay exorbitant prices for bad
medicine. Currently there is no downward pressure on the laser operator's
price or upward pressure on her quality. There have been attempts to have every
corner of medicine scrutinized and run from above, like with the radiologists,
but those efforts are pale compared to what happens when patients know success
rates and prices and make decisions about where or whether to get treatment.
Sometimes it is better to limp than to get treatment.
Eating Cabbage
If a centralized planner were to tell a citizen of the USA
that it had been looked into and decided that it is too expensive or too
dangerous to provide treatment for that limp, it would be a severe violation of
what this country is about. It also would be the Soviet style of management that
resulted in the joke "What is 200 yards long and eats cabbage . . . A Russian
meat line." The Closed Claims Project is vital for how it helps people in the
system understand how to clean up systems, but it will not ensure that all
clinicians are competent enough to do it, or whether the competent ones bother
to do it regularly. Or whether they do it in an affordable way. It is not what
will solve medicine's being dangerous and expensive. As David Goldhill said in
his article in the Atlantic, only consumers can be the ultimate guarantors of
good service, reasonable prices, and sensible trade-offs.
Patients cannot be that without the information necessary to
make informed cost-benefit decisions. That kind of information is not produced
by closed claim projects and scientific studies. To be informed requires knowing
the success rate of individual clinicians and facilities. The women assigned to
the dangerous clinic 160 years ago did not have knowledge of any clinical
systems analyses. They did not understand what the problems were. They
understood only the success rates. Too many people were dying in the first
facility. They didn't have to know anything about medicine. But they did have to
know success rates. Patients cannot make informed cost-benefit decisions without
knowing success rates. Neither can doctors, but none of them do.
Motivating Safety and Efficiency
Under the right circumstances, that toenail laser treatment
could cost $150 from an operator with a high success rate. Scientific studies
and efforts like the Closed Case Claims project produce nothing that motivates
clinicians to figure out how to compete at that price. They might reduce the
number of expensive litigations resulting from toenail laser accidents. They
might produce safe practices guidelines. But they do not motivate operators to
be safe. They do not motivate operators to be more efficient and less expensive.
When patients pay whatever they are told to pay without regard for what they are
getting, there is no reason to become more efficient or less expensive. There
isn't even much motivation to become safer. However, there is a strong
motivation to keep anyone from finding out when they are inept and/or expensive.
There is a strong motivation to silence claims and hide results. And doing so
makes it so that no one knows success rates.
For medicine to become safe and affordable, it must be the
case that patients have the information necessary to know whether or not it is
safe.
It must be possible for entities
like
Consumer Reports to do epidemiological studies of individual clinicians and
note when eleven 14-year-old girls complained of being groped by a certain
clinician, without the girls who posted it on facebook getting sued, and without
Consumer Reports getting sued for reporting how many did. Closed case
studies do not improve the fact that sex predators in medicine abuse patients
for decades before there are enough patients finally to force someone to pay
attention. Waiting for the closed cases requires amassing an unacceptable number
of victims to study. Even then, it does not put every doctor and hospital in the
country in a position in which staying in business requires competing with
people who are safer and cheaper.
Patients today do not know the success rates of almost
anything or anyone in medicine. So 160 years after Semmelweis, clinicians still
do not wash their hands often enough let alone take enough more complicated
precautions to reduce infections.
$300 Hamburger?
The FDA shuts down an entire industry if a hamburger is found
to contain E. Coli. But they do not tell consumers what and where to eat and how
much to pay for it. If they did hamburgers would cost $300 and it would require
lawsuits to respond to a bad cook, rather than consumers being able to tell
the cook is bad and just stop going there. The FDA helps reduce the frequency of
fatalities, but even if it were run by saints it could not motivate chefs to
create food that is affordable and good.
If you want your hamburger to look like healthcare, put the
FDA in charge of choosing what you eat and how much you pay for it. If you want
medicine to look more like the way you eat, start arranging for patients to
provide to each other the information that no one in healthcare will. No one in
health care will warn patients when one doctor in a facility has a high death rate. No
one keeps track of that. They don't know themselves. But other patients can.
This has been studied. It has been demonstrated that when given the opportunity
patients report more information and more accurate information than anyone in
health care (click here
for the study).
It is difficult to persuade people of how few adverse events
get reported in medicine, but understanding that is essential for fixing medicine.
See the most recent report from Health
and Human Services: reviewed hospitals
did not generate incident reports for 93% of adverse events. The 7% of the time
when they did generate reports, the information was inaccurate 63% of the time.
Which means clinicians are willing to report accurate information about adverse
events 2% of the time. This is not the first time this fact has been found. This
is not the first time that information has been made available. Yet know one
working in medicine knows about it. And adverse events are the most important thing to know.
Especially for patients. Those are the strikes. Batting averages cannot be determined
without knowing about strikes. Patients with no information about success rates
are being asked to believe that all people in medicine are saints.
Surviving Single Digit Reporting
The foundation for making medicine safer and more affordable
is patients having the information necessary to make informed cost-benefit
decisions so they can avoid paying $1200 for a laser treatment from someone with
a poor success rate. So they can avoid paying $2,500 for an MRI they can get
around the corner for $300. So they can avoid dangerous facilities. So they can
avoid getting butchered by an inept physician no one in medicine will report. So
they can put clinicians in the position of losing business if they have poor
success rates from not washing their hands.
Scientific studies, closed claim projects, examinations of
existing records, reorganizing administrations and altering the way clinicians
are paid might offer patches for problems, but will not alter the fundamental
issues. All of those patches require saints to understand and implement them. If
health care professionals were saints they would put the interests of patients
ahead of their own by recording 100% of adverse events, like airplane pilots do
(because if the problem isn't fixed pilots go down with the plane). And they
would figure out how to charge $150 for laser toenail treatment.
Think how valuable that would be to the patient community.
The recording of adverse events would empower patients to protect themselves
when clinicians turn out not to be saints. Lowering prices to 12% of current
charges would end personal bankruptcies and make it affordable to
extend coverage universally. But they are not saints. They don't do that. They
charge $1200 for a $150 treatment whenever they can. So patients will have to do what is necessary to collect and disseminate the
life-saving information themselves. Having that will put downward pressure
on prices. Without having that information health care will continue to bankrupt and kill more people
than anything else.
Within the patient community exists the information necessary
to determine which radiologists have good batting averages and which don't. And
which take too long and cost too much. With that information, patients can make
choices that put inept radiologists out of business and cause the rest to figure
out how to be efficient enough to be affordable.
All of the studies and projects set up to run medicine
better for patients are vital, but never will do for patients what patients can
do for themselves. Patients must be in the information driver seat. There are
projects that could help them get there, but no one is talking about them. All
anyone is talking about is what is being done at Mayo, or at the Closed Claims
Project, that will make it so that saints can run medicine for patients with
patients left in the position of doing what they are told and paying what they are told.
That's the model that got us where we are now.
What we need is for patients to know about the dangers and be
in a position to care about the price.
"I am a firm believer in the people.
If given the truth, they can be depended upon
to meet any national crisis.
The great point is to bring them the real facts."
-Abraham Lincoln |